Wikileaks Update(11) -Ethiocables

S E C R E T ADDIS ABABA 001361 

NOFORN
SIPDIS

STATE FOR AF/E

E.O. 12958: DECL: 05/12/2028
TAGS: PGOV PREL ASEC ET
SUBJECT: ETHIOPIA: SCHOLARS OFFER VIEWS ON 2010 ELECTIONS
AND THE WAY FORWARD (PART V OF V)

REF: A. ADDIS ABABA 1357
B. ADDIS ABABA 1358
C. ADDIS ABABA 1359
D. ADDIS ABABA 1360
E. ADDIS ABABA 1111
F. ADDIS ABABA 1229

Classified By: Ambassador Donald Yamamoto. Reasons 1.4(b) and (d).

PART V OF V. THIS FIVE-PART CABLE DETAILS ETHIOPIAN
SCHOLARS' VIEWS ON THE ETHIOPIAN POLITY.

Summary
-------

1. (S/NF) Parts I-IV of this series (refs A, B, C, D)
outlined how, in the views of Ethiopian scholars, the ruling
Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) is
consolidating de facto one-party rule, weakening state
institutions, and creating conditions that risk Ethiopia's
stability. Interviewed following the EPRDF's landslide
victory in the April 2008 local elections (ref E), the
Ethiopian scholars divided roughly into two camps:
Pluralists, who favored participatory democracy, and
Statists, who favored a dominant EPRDF. In this Part V,
Pluralists and Statists offered their prescriptions on the
way forward. While Pluralists were generally pessimistic
about prospects for greater space for mainstream political
opposition in the upcoming 2010 national elections, Statists
held out hope that the EPRDF will reform internally. The
Pluralists and Statists differed in their views on any
potential United States response to Ethiopia's internal
developments, with Statists arguing that the United States
should stay out of Ethiopia's domestic politics and only urge
the EPRDF to open the economy, and the Pluralists arguing
that the United States should use its leverage to create
necessary space for mainstream political opposition. This
Part V further reviews the scholars views presented in Parts
I-V. In light of the scholars' views and other Post
reporting, the Ambassador has begun approaching the EPRDF at
the highest levels and frankly express our concerns that the
EPRDF's current actions may adversely affect our mutual
interest in the Ethiopian state's long term viability. These
discussions will encourage the TPLF-led Politburo to explain
clearly how their consolidation of power enhances, rather
than retards, the welfare and security of the Ethiopian
state. End Summary.

The 2010 Elections and the Way Forward
--------------------------------------
 
To Read more go through the followings links:

Confidential Meetings with Ethiopian Scholars 
 
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2008/05/08ADDISABABA1357.html
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2008/05/08ADDISABABA1358.html
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2008/05/08ADDISABABA1359.html
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2008/05/08ADDISABABA1360.html
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2008/05/08ADDISABABA1361.html
http://www.ethiomedia.com/andnen/wikileaks_090311.html
***

WikiLeaks – Privatization or Monopolization by Al Amoudi in Ethiopia ?
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2008/01/08ADDISABABA82.html

Wikileaks – CUD leaders’ Charges “Political Offenses” not Criminal thus will grant visas

http://wikileaks.org/cable/2007/08/07ADDISABABA2635.html

Wikileaks – TPLF not EPRDF against release of CUD leaders
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2007/06/07ADDISABABA2005.html

Wikileaks – Pastor Daniel Most Neutral Ethiopian Exposing Torture – I fear for Pastor Dan
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2007/04/07ADDISABABA1277.html

Wikileaks – Meles tells US to “remove the Bashir regime.” – One more enemy for Meles…
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2009/02/09ADDISABABA259.html

Wikileaks – Simmering Religious In-Roads of Imported Wahhabism in Ethiopia
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2009/07/09ADDISABABA1674.html

Wikileaks – LUCY [DINKNESH] CLAIMS ASYLUM IN US [Satire]
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2009/04/09ADDISABABA745.html

Wikileaks – Seeye Opens up about EFFORT & control over resources by super-rich Meles and Azeb
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2009/03/09ADDISABABA677.html

Wikileaks – PARTIAL CABINET RESHUFFLE and BIO OF SOME EPRDFits
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2008/11/08ADDISABABA3011.html

Wikileaks – Hailu unwilling to pursue meaningful dialogue with others and show no signs moderation
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2008/09/08ADDISABABA2560.html

Wikileaks – Ruling Party’s Heavy-Handed Recruitment of Students, Teachers, Farmers
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2009/09/09ADDISABABA2273.html

Wikileaks – Meles Adviser Gilkes confirms Meles gave “LARGE CHUNK OF TERRITORY” to Sudan
http://wikileaks.org/cable/2008/12/08ADDISABABA3400.html

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